— Sales & Growth

Deal win-likelihood scorer

Learns from your closed deals to score every open opportunity out of 100, names the factors moving each score, flags deals priced or sized well outside the norm, and returns a forecast-adjusted pipeline view.

  • Sales & Growth
  • Traceable reasoning
  • Runs anywhere
Preview methodology

1–2 weeks → ~15 minutes

For a full population, not a sample

No coding required

Input
CRM opportunity records covering historical closed deals and the open pipeline
Output
Win-likelihood scores from 0–100 for each open opportunity
Runs in
Skillsize · ChatGPT · Claude · Copilot
Export
SKILL.md · MCP
Time saved
~1–2 weeks per run

— USE CASES

What people use Deal win-likelihood scorer for

Reviewing the revenue forecast

Provides a forecast-adjusted view of the open pipeline grounded in previous deal outcomes. Highlights where deal-level evidence supports or challenges forecast expectations.

Prioritising sales attention

Gives each open opportunity a 0–100 win-likelihood score and explains the factors influencing it. Supports a more focused discussion of which deals merit attention.

Scrutinising unusual deal terms

Flags opportunities with pricing, discounts or deal sizes well outside historical norms. Makes exceptions visible for commercial review without treating every unusual deal as unlikely to close.

Preparing leadership pipeline reviews

Provides a concise pipeline brief that combines deal assessments, forecast implications and commercial exceptions. Gives leadership a shared evidence base for discussing revenue risk.

What it works from

  • CRM opportunity records covering historical closed deals and the open pipeline
  • Won or lost outcomes for historical opportunities
  • Deal names, accounts, owners and sales stages
  • Deal amounts, discount percentages and product details where available

What you get back

  • Win-likelihood scores from 0–100 for each open opportunity
  • Deal-level explanations of the factors influencing scores
  • Flags for unusual pricing, discounts and deal sizes
  • Forecast-adjusted pipeline brief

— HOW IT BEHAVES

How Deal win-likelihood scorer produces its result

The mechanics behind this specific template — what it reads, what it calculates, and where a human stays in the loop.

Every row of the pipeline in scope

Each row of your export is processed on the same basis, so no account is skipped however long the table is.

Composed as work product

Findings on the pipeline in scope are written up as a document that reads like professional output, with each claim tied back to a account.

Roll-up alongside account-level detail

Detail rows are summarised into the grouped view of the pipeline in scope without losing the underlying accounts.

Why this is expensive by hand

Sales pipelines often mix credible opportunities with deals whose value, discount or progress makes the forecast harder to trust. In practice it shows up as reviewing the revenue forecast: provides a forecast-adjusted view of the open pipeline grounded in previous deal outcomes. Highlights where deal-level evidence supports or challenges forecast expectations. The value sits in the rigour, not the typing — yet the rigour is exactly what gets traded away when there is only 1–2 weeks of capacity for it.

How this Skill produces it

Skillsize turns that work into a Skill: you supply the material, and what comes back is win-likelihood scores from 0–100 for each open opportunity, with deal-level explanations of the factors influencing scores. The judgement is built in — how items are broken up, what standard they are held to, and where the run stops for a human review. In effect, 1–2 weeks of senior time compresses into ~15 minutes — and the output is comparable across clients, quarters and colleagues instead of shaped by whoever ran it.

Who it's for

  • Revenue and commercial leaders
  • Sales operations and enablement teams
  • Customer success and account management leads
  • Consultants advising on go-to-market

Run it in Skillsize — or export it anywhere

Deal win-likelihood scorer exports as a structured SKILL.md file and is MCP-ready, so the same method runs in ChatGPT, Claude, Copilot or your own AI products. Adapt it to your methodology, and the intelligence stays yours — not locked to one vendor.

ChatGPTClaudeCopilotAI Products (MCP)
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